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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
2 - 0
Catolica

Andrade (39'), Duque (45')
Rovira (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zampedri (50'), Huerta (83'), Perlaza (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawUniversidad Catolica
49.99%26.79%23.21%
Both teams to score 44.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21%58.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69%79.3%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35%23.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25%57.75%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35%77.65%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 49.98%
    Universidad Catolica 23.21%
    Draw 26.79%
Atletico NacionalDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.01%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.98%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.21%

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