River Plate
1 - 2
Catolica

Piriz (45+3')
Salaberry (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zampedri (9'), Aued (72' pen.)
Puch (45+6'), Lezcano (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between River Plate and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Universidad Catolica
24.29%	25.81%	49.9%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57%

54.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2%

75.8%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.35%

37.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58%

74.42%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15%

21.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.92%

55.08%

Score Analysis

River Plate 24.29%

Universidad Catolica 49.9%

Draw 25.81%

River Plate	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.29%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 12.51% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.9%