Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.