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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 4, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Catolica
0 - 1
River Plate


Buonanotte (41'), Saavedra (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bonifazi (52')
Piriz (22'), Rodriguez (37'), Bonifazi (82')
Piriz (54')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Universidad Catolica and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawRiver Plate
56.33%25.04%18.63%
Both teams to score 43.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77%57.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92%78.08%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.89%45.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.98%81.02%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 56.33%
    River Plate 18.63%
    Draw 25.03%
Universidad CatolicaDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 14.6%
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.92%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.33%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 9.16%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.9%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 18.63%

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