SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 29.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
41.3% ( 0.09) | 29.56% ( 0.04) | 29.13% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.37% ( -0.17) | 64.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.37% ( -0.12) | 83.63% ( 0.12) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -0.04) | 67.15% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.2) | 39.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -0.19) | 75.89% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 29.13% |
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