Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.06) 
