Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.