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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
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Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Internacional

Luciano (33'), Maia (70')
Rafinha (45+2'), Neves (58'), Rato (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mauricio (58'), Mercado (67'), Moledo (79'), Lucca (87')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Sao Paulo
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawInternacional
48.66% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05) 27.32% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 24.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.37% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.03% (-0.217 -0.22)59.97% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (-0.165 -0.16)80.21% (0.16 0.16)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.121 -0.12)24.79% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (-0.168 -0.17)59.36% (0.162 0.16)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (-0.139 -0.14)41.01% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.123 -0.12)77.56% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 48.65%
    Internacional 24.02%
    Draw 27.31%
Sao PauloDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 14.17% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Sao Paulo
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, April 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tigre 0-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, April 23 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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