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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
C

Alianza Petrolera
0 - 3
Cruzeiro


Blanco (26'), Batalla (44'), Orozco (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (41'), Arthur (49'), Elias (90+3')
William (55'), Ivaldo (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Alianza PetroleraDrawCruzeiro
18.14% (-0.423 -0.42) 25.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 56.2% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 41.45% (-0.635 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (-0.476 -0.48)59.84% (0.475 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88% (-0.366 -0.37)80.12% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.796 -0.8)47.25% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.604 -0.6)82.67% (0.604 0.6)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)21.41% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)54.41% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Petrolera 18.14%
    Cruzeiro 56.2%
    Draw 25.64%
Alianza PetroleraDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.38% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.11% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 15.59% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 12.01% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.17% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.38% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 56.2%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-3 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Union La Calera
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Union La Calera 0-0 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 21 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Cruzeiro
Thursday, April 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-2 Botafogo
Sunday, April 14 at 9pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-3 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana


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