SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Cruzeiro |
48.99% ( 0.2) | 26.92% ( 0.16) | 24.09% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.43% ( -0.8) | 58.57% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% ( -0.63) | 79.14% ( 0.63) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.26) | 24.02% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0.37) | 58.28% ( 0.37) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.79) | 40.15% ( 0.79) |
