Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
1.47) 
-1.5) 
