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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
C

U. Catolica
0 - 0
Cruzeiro


Martinez (23')
FT

Ivaldo (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tecnico Universitario 0-3 U. Catolica
Friday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawCruzeiro
34.36% (-0.292 -0.29) 27.92% (0.212 0.21) 37.73% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.665 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (-0.813 -0.81)58.01% (0.82 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3% (-0.645 -0.65)78.7% (0.65199999999999 0.65)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-0.60300000000001 -0.6)31.8% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.698 -0.7)68.23% (0.70399999999999 0.7)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.345 -0.34)29.68% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.26% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)65.74% (0.43299999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 34.36%
    Cruzeiro 37.72%
    Draw 27.91%
Universidad CatolicaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.36%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tecnico Universitario 0-3 U. Catolica
Friday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Millonarios 2-1 U. Catolica
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Millonarios
Friday, February 24 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-1 Santos
Friday, May 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, November 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-1 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, November 28 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-2 Vasco
Wednesday, November 22 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 18 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro


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