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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez

Aragua
0 - 1
Lanus

Manuel Lopez (89')
Sand (45+1'), Bernabei (45+2'), Arace (45+2'), Perez (67'), Perez (69')
Stephens (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aragua and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aragua win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aragua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
AraguaDrawLanus
43.23%23.58%33.18%
Both teams to score 62.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02%61.97%
Aragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32%18.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98%50.01%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42%23.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35%57.64%
Score Analysis
    Aragua 43.23%
    Lanus 33.18%
    Draw 23.58%
AraguaDrawLanus
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.18%

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