Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aragua win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aragua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.