Sarmiento
1 - 0
Lanus

Torres (66' pen.)
Martin Pombo (40'), Graciani (73'), Francisco Vazquez (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (52'), Luis Gomez (90+4'), Bernabei (90+6')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Lanus
26.69%	26.56%	46.75%

Both teams to score 48.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44%

55.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27%

76.73%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.82%

36.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.04%

72.96%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11%

57.89%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 26.69%

Lanus 46.75%

Draw 26.55%

Sarmiento	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.69%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.75%