Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Atletico GO win 5-3 on penalties
We say: Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Olimpia
A lack of scoring depth has plagued Goianiense throughout the season, which is why they are in their current predicament and it could be a struggle for them again this week.
It is hard to envision Dragao scoring multiple goals against a side as well-drilled and organised as Olimpia, and we therefore expect the Paraguayans to advance.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
| Result |
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Olimpia |
48.39% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( 0) | 26.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0.03) |
| 50.12% ( -0.03) | 49.87% ( 0.03) |
| 28.13% ( -0.02) | 71.86% ( 0.02) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| 79.36% ( 0.01) | 20.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.8% ( 0.01) | 53.2% ( -0.01) |
| 66.74% ( -0.04) | 33.25% ( 0.04) |
