SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Olimpia |
47.5% ( 0.12) | 26.69% ( -0.08) | 25.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% ( 0.27) | 56.57% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% ( 0.22) | 77.55% ( -0.22) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.17) | 23.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.25) | 58.02% ( -0.25) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.52% ( 0.12) | 37.47% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.74% ( 0.12) | 74.26% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Olimpia |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.81% |
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