SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Olimpia |
49.03% ( 0.24) | 23.85% ( 0) | 27.13% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.21) | 44.12% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.2) | 66.5% ( 0.2) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( 0.01) | 18.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( 0.02) | 49.06% ( -0.03) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.29) | 29.77% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.36) | 65.84% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Olimpia |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.13% |
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