Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Olimpia 1-1 Atletico Goianiense
While Atletico Goianiense were more dominant in the group stage heading into this round, it is actually the hosts that have stronger form overall recently.
That could lead to them having plenty of confidence for this fixture, but there will no doubt be a closely-fought encounter that could lead to them playing to a draw in this first leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.
| Result |
| Olimpia | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
46.58% ( 0.03) | 29.08% ( -0.04) | 24.33% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.33% ( 0.08) |
| 34.74% ( 0.1) | 65.26% ( -0.1) |
| 15.93% ( 0.07) | 84.07% ( -0.07) |
| 71.72% ( 0.07) | 28.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36% ( 0.09) | 64% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| 56.23% ( 0.06) | 43.77% ( -0.06) |
