Bahia
5 - 0
Guabira

Alesson (8', 79'), Juninho (40'), Macedo Moraes (66', 71')
Otavio da Silva Santos (24'), Alesson (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Avelino Amarilla Bogado (40'), Galain (42'), Ibanez (64')
Ibanez (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bahia and Guabira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Guabira win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Guabira
41.17%	22.97%	35.85%

Both teams to score 65.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07%

35.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98%

58.02%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97%

18.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09%

48.91%

Guabira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55%

20.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09%

52.91%

Score Analysis

Bahia 41.17%

Guabira 35.85%

Draw 22.97%

Bahia	Draw	Guabira
2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.88% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.85%