SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blooming | Draw | Santos |
38.77% ( 2.36) | 26.61% ( 0.28) | 34.61% ( -2.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( -1.32) | 52.89% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -1.14) | 74.5% ( 1.13) |
| Blooming Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.73) | 26.62% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.95) | 61.86% ( -0.96) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -2.22) | 29.08% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -2.83) | 65% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blooming | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.61% |
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