Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.3) 
-0.05) 
