Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.