Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Santos had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.02) 
