SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Avai had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Avai |
62.6% ( -2.78) | 21.17% ( 1.02) | 16.23% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -1) | 45.78% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.96) | 68.09% ( 0.96) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.97% ( -1.14) | 14.02% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -2.29) | 41.57% ( 2.29) |
| Avai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( 1.76) | 41.27% ( -1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.2% ( 1.52) | 77.8% ( -1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos | Draw | Avai |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.48)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.64)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.48)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.7% Total : 62.59% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.16% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.23% |
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