Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
