Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Caracas 1-1 The Strongest
Having a shot at qualifying for the knockout stage of this competition is an unfamiliar feeling for both Caracas and The Strongest, so we anticipate a nervy affair given what is at stake.
Experience would favour the Bolivians, though Los Rojos del Avila have been stellar defensively on their home field, so expect to see a stalemate when these two sides face off on Tuesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| Caracas | Draw | The Strongest |
51.39% ( -0.47) | 25.89% ( 0.18) | 22.72% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.18) |
| 43.97% ( -0.4) | 56.02% ( 0.4) |
| 22.88% ( -0.33) | 77.11% ( 0.32) |
| 78.13% ( -0.37) | 21.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.9% ( -0.56) | 55.1% ( 0.55) |
| 59.98% ( 0.05) | 40.02% ( -0.06) |
