SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caracas | Draw | The Strongest |
51.39% ( -0.47) | 25.89% ( 0.18) | 22.72% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.4) | 56.02% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( -0.33) | 77.11% ( 0.32) |
| Caracas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.37) | 21.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( -0.56) | 55.1% ( 0.55) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% ( 0.05) | 40.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% ( 0.05) | 76.67% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caracas | Draw | The Strongest |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.72% |
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