Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Caracas win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
