Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
