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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
3 - 0
Wilstermann

Albertengo (1'), Candia (84', 87')
Medina (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Echeverria (62'), Paredes (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Jorge Wilstermann.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawJorge Wilstermann
42.4%24.01%33.59%
Both teams to score 60.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46%41.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06%63.94%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17%19.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09%51.9%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74%24.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39%58.61%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 42.4%
    Jorge Wilstermann 33.59%
    Draw 24.01%
Arsenal SarandiDrawJorge Wilstermann
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-1 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.59%

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