Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
