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Copa Libertadores | First Round
Mar 3, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico de la UCV

Caracas
2 - 0
Cesar Vallejo

Echeverria (20' pen.), Celis (90+5')
Notaroberto (57'), Flores (73'), Bonsu Osei (75'), Castillo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cedron (16'), Quinteros (66'), Garces (71'), Vasquez (76'), Fleitas (80')
Vasquez (79')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Caracas and Cesar Vallejo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawCesar Vallejo
30.63%27.79%41.57%
Both teams to score 47.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69%58.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07%78.93%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.27%
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.15%
Score Analysis
    Caracas 30.63%
    Cesar Vallejo 41.58%
    Draw 27.78%
CaracasDrawCesar Vallejo
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.54%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.9%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 41.58%

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