Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Caracas and Cesar Vallejo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.