Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.29%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for LDU Quito in this match.
