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CL
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Libertad
0 - 1
Junior


Cougo (34'), Enciso (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (87')
Ditta (26'), Moreno (46'), Rosero (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAtletico Junior
44.74%23.17%32.08%
Both teams to score 63.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.96%38.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.69%60.31%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58%17.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13%47.86%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 44.74%
    Atletico Junior 32.08%
    Draw 23.17%
Club LibertadDrawAtletico Junior
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 44.74%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.08%

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