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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
CL

Palestino
1 - 2
Libertad

Benitez (44')
Cortes (6'), Farias (50'), Alvarado (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Baez (54' pen.), Martinez (73')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Club Libertad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawClub Libertad
32.1%22.71%45.19%
Both teams to score 64.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24%35.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16%57.83%
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65%22.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16%55.84%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64%16.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03%45.96%
Score Analysis
    Palestino 32.1%
    Club Libertad 45.19%
    Draw 22.71%
PalestinoDrawClub Libertad
2-1 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 32.1%
1-1 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-1 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 5.42%
2-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.62%
1-4 @ 2.45%
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.64%
3-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 45.19%

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