Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
