Junior
3 - 4
Libertad

(4-4 on aggregate)

Valencia (4'), Piedrahita (36'), Hinestroza (39')
Pacheco (33'), Martinez (62')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Villalba (12', 14'), Enciso (48'), Martinez (71')
Enciso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Atletico Junior and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Club Libertad
35.22%	24.84%	39.94%

Both teams to score 58.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94%

45.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59%

67.41%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02%

24.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37%

59.62%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52%

22.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97%

56.03%

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 35.22%

Club Libertad 39.94%

Draw 24.83%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Club Libertad
2-1 @ 8.06% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.94%