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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)

Fluminense
1 - 2
Junior

Hernandez (75')
Calegari (25'), Yago (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (35'), Cetre (50')
Vasquez (17'), Rosero (58'), Valencia (88'), Sambueza (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawAtletico Junior
56.93%23.46%19.6%
Both teams to score 49.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85%50.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88%72.11%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59%17.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17%47.83%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12%39.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46%76.53%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 56.92%
    Atletico Junior 19.6%
    Draw 23.46%
FluminenseDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 12.13%
2-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.6%

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