Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.
