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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz

Libertad
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Ferreira (9')
Ferreira (49'), Ramirez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Orihuela (49'), Cabral (51'), Cingolani (65'), Lema (67'), Cabrera (79'), Llano (89')
Cingolani (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawNewell's Old Boys
45.82%26.23%27.95%
Both teams to score 50.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42%53.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92%75.08%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.29%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 45.82%
    Newell's Old Boys 27.95%
    Draw 26.22%
Club LibertadDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 27.95%

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