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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
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Independiente
1 - 1
Santos

Gonzalez (68')
Blanco (28'), Romero (35'), Barreto (44')
Manuel Insaurralde (62'), Barreto (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jorge (38')
Mota (17'), Fernandes (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawSantos
46.13%24.1%29.77%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04%65.95%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95%19.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36%50.63%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39%27.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86%63.14%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 46.13%
    Santos 29.77%
    Draw 24.09%
IndependienteDrawSantos
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.77%

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