Independiente
1 - 1
Santos

(Santos win 2-1 on aggregate)

Gonzalez (68')
Blanco (28'), Romero (35'), Barreto (44')
Manuel Insaurralde (62'), Barreto (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jorge (38')
Mota (17'), Fernandes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Santos
46.13%	24.1%	29.77%

Both teams to score 58.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44%

43.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04%

65.95%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95%

19.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.36%

50.63%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.14%

Score Analysis

Independiente 46.13%

Santos 29.77%

Draw 24.09%

Independiente	Draw	Santos
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.27% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.77%