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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
C

Bragantino
1 - 2
Corinthians

Helinho (56')
Jadsom (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giovane (6'), Magno (14')
Charles (42'), Garro (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians

Bragantino are on a tough run of results heading into this one, which should give Corinthians reason for optimism. However, the away side have struggled for goals of late, and we can see them falling to a narrow defeat come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BragantinoDrawCorinthians
51.91% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.45%
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.34% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 51.91%
    Corinthians 23.45%
    Draw 24.64%
BragantinoDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 9.46%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-3 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 2-2 Bragantino
Saturday, August 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, July 31 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 3-2 Barcelona
Thursday, July 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-0 Corinthians (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 8 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro


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