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Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Alinja Arena

Athletico PR
vs.
Racing

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We say: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Racing Club

After such a convincing victory in their previous Copa Sudamericana affair, we believe Racing may be knocked down a peg against El Paranaense, who know what it is like to go deep into a competition like this and should provide much stiffer competition for the Argentines than Huachipato. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club has a probability of 28.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win is 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
45.12% (0.061 0.06) 26.21% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 28.67% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.25599999999999 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.327 0.33)53.14% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.277 0.28)74.71% (-0.271 -0.27)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.17200000000001 0.17)23.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.246 0.25)57.5% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.18900000000001 0.19)33.31% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.206 0.21)69.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.12%
    Racing Club 28.67%
    Draw 26.2%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Vasco (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 12 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Athletico PR
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Racing
Sunday, September 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, August 25 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 6-1 Huachipato
Tuesday, August 20 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Racing
Saturday, August 17 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huachipato 0-2 Racing
Tuesday, August 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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