SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
46.22% ( -0.43) | 29.16% ( 0.18) | 24.61% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.36% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.37) | 65.33% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.88% ( -0.26) | 84.12% ( 0.25) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( -0.41) | 28.51% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( -0.51) | 64.28% ( 0.51) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.45% ( 0.02) | 43.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.25% ( 0.02) | 79.74% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 15.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.16% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.61% |
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