SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
54.72% ( -0.14) | 24.1% ( 0.02) | 21.17% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( 0.06) | 50.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( 0.05) | 72.67% ( -0.05) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.03) | 18.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% ( -0.05) | 49.63% ( 0.05) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.16) | 38.58% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( 0.15) | 75.33% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.17% |
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