Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Danubio | Draw | Progreso |
34.7% (![]() | 28.55% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.73% (![]() | 60.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.56% (![]() | 80.44% (![]() |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% (![]() | 32.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% (![]() | 69.29% (![]() |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.6% (![]() | 31.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.23% (![]() | 67.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Danubio | Draw | Progreso |
1-0 @ 11.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 13.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.75% |
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