SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
32.28% ( 0.2) | 28.43% ( -0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% ( 0.21) | 60.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( 0.16) | 80.36% ( -0.16) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.25) | 34.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.27) | 71.04% ( -0.27) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.02) | 29.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.02) | 65.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.27% |
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