Expect this to be a cagey affair between two well-organised teams, though we believe Galo will have an edge because of their individual quality, along with some of the most creative midfielders in South America.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
-0.27) 
0.08) 
