SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Emelec in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Huracan |
40.59% ( -0.1) | 28.14% ( 0.05) | 31.27% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.15) | 59.35% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.25% ( -0.12) | 79.74% ( 0.11) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( -0.13) | 28.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( -0.16) | 64.49% ( 0.16) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( -0.04) | 34.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( -0.04) | 71.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emelec | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.26% |
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