Gremio
2 - 1
La Equidad

Souza (37'), Doin (77'), Duarte (90')
Fernando Herazo Moreno (6'), Ruan (12'), Correa (27'), Mena (48'), Andres Mantilla Ossa (50'), Ferreira (79'), (81'), Bobsin Pereira (90+6')
Rodrigues (72'), Duarte (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and La Equidad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	La Equidad
44.55%	23.92%	31.52%

Both teams to score 60.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13%

41.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73%

64.26%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97%

19.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4%

50.6%

La Equidad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36%

25.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46%

60.53%

Score Analysis

Gremio 44.56%

La Equidad 31.52%

Draw 23.91%

Gremio	Draw	La Equidad
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.56%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.52%