La Equidad
2 - 1
Aragua

Colina (17'), Mario Rodriguez (54')
Fuentes (18'), Pacheco (32'), Colina (60'), Mahecha (74'), Fernando Herazo Moreno (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manrique (72')
Guerrero (34'), Yustiz (60'), Zapata (88')
Perez (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between La Equidad and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aragua win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aragua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
La Equidad	Draw	Aragua
35.82%	23.21%	40.97%

Both teams to score 64.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.9%

37.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.7%

59.29%

La Equidad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Aragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4%

18.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12%

49.88%

Score Analysis

La Equidad 35.82%

Aragua 40.97%

Draw 23.21%

La Equidad	Draw	Aragua
2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 8.62% 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.63% Total : 40.97%