Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result | ||
Lanus | Draw | LDU Quito |
51.62% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() | 22.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.53% (![]() | 54.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.17% (![]() | 75.83% (![]() |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% (![]() | 21.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.03% (![]() | 53.97% (![]() |
LDU Quito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% (![]() | 38.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% (![]() | 75.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lanus | Draw | LDU Quito |
1-0 @ 12.8% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.95% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.76% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.88% |
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