Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
