Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bolivar (7'), Annese (47'), Jesus Pabon Delgao (88'),
Fuentes (90+1')
Bolivar (59')
We said: Lanus 2-0 Metropolitanos
Metropolitanos have been far from a soft touch in this group, and Lanus certainly face a tough test on Wednesday.
However, the hosts need a big win to confirm a first-placed finish, and we back them to come away with all three points as they push for crucial goals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lanus.
| Result |
| Lanus | Draw | Metropolitanos |
45.76% ( -0.02) | 26.04% ( 0) | 28.2% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 0.01) |
| 47.27% ( 0) | 52.74% ( -0) |
| 25.63% ( 0) | 74.37% |
| 77% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.8% ( 0.01) |
| 66.54% ( 0.02) | 33.46% ( -0.01) |
