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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
N

LDU Quito
2 - 3
Nublense

LDU Quito win 4-3 on penalties
Julio (26'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Dominguez (33'), Zubeldia (34'), Gonzalez (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Rubio (35' pen.), Mina (60' og.), Manuel Rivera Zuniga (90+3')
Manuel Rivera Zuniga (64'), Aranguiz (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We say: LDU Quito 2-0 Nublense

LDU Quito were comfortably the superior side across the first leg in Chile last week, so we do not see why things would be any different when they have home advantage on their side. As such, we expect the 2009 winners to comfortably seal their place in the last eight of the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.27%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
LDU QuitoDrawNublense
71.25% (0.051999999999992 0.05) 18.84% (0.135 0.13) 9.9% (-0.1841 -0.18)
Both teams to score 39.91% (-1.039 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (-1.042 -1.04)50.17% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (-0.934 -0.93)72.13% (0.935 0.94)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)12.81% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.87% (-0.604 -0.6)39.13% (0.607 0.61)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.77% (-1.033 -1.03)54.22% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.58% (-0.645 -0.65)87.41% (0.648 0.65)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 71.24%
    Nublense 9.9%
    Draw 18.84%
LDU QuitoDrawNublense
2-0 @ 14.66% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.44 0.44)
3-0 @ 10.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.098999999999998 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 71.24%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.84%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 9.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Magallanes 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Magallanes
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Audax 0-1 Nublense
Friday, July 21 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nublense 0-0 Audax
Thursday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 4-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aucas 0-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nublense 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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