Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Magallanes had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Magallanes win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.07) 
